|
|||||
Introduction
to Economics ECO401
VU
UNIT
- 10
Lesson
10.1
MACROECONOMIC
EQUILIBRIUM & VARIABLES; THE
DETERMINATION OF
EQUILIBRIUM
INCOME
MACROECONOMIC
EQUILIBRIUM
The
circular flow of money in
the economy helps illustrate
the Classical and Keynesian
notions
of
macroeconomic equilibrium. The
circular flow depicts
incomes flowing from firms
to
households
in return for factor
services supplied by households to
firms, and
subsequently
these
household incomes being
expended on goods and
services supplied by firms
to
households.
The
Concept of Leakages and
Injections:
`A
leakage or withdrawal is any
use of the income received
by households that does not
return
as
revenue to domestic firms.
Savings, taxes and imports
are examples of leakages as
this
money
does not fall as expenditure
on goods and firms produced
by domestic firms.
Injections
are payments to firms not
originating from households:
government spending,
firms'
investment
and exports are all
examples of injections into
the circular flow.
Macroeconomic
Equilibrium in Case of Keynesian
and Classical
Sense:
Macroeconomic
equilibrium in a Keynesian sense
obtains when total
injections equal
total
leakages
(or total withdrawals), or
aggregate supply equals
aggregate demand. These are
two
equivalent
notions of Keynesian equilibrium
and can be expressed
respectively as:
S
+ T + M ≡
I + G + X
and
AS
= Y = AD ≡
C + I + G +
(X-M);
where
AS is aggregate supply, Y is national
income, AD is aggregate demand, C
is
consumption,
I is investment, G is government
spending, X is exports, M is imports, S
is
saving
and T is taxes.
Macroeconomic
equilibrium in a Classical sense
refers, by contrast, to joint
equilibrium in all
the
underlying sectors or markets of
the economy. So S must equal
I (loan able funds
market;
key
players are banks and
financial markets), G must
equal T (fiscal sector; key
player is
government)
and X = M (external sector,
key players are importers
and exporters). Any
disequilibrium
at the macro level was
attributable to disequilibrium in one or
more of these
individual
markets.
Keynes'
major insight was that
equilibrium in the individual
markets was not a
necessary
condition
for equilibrium at the macro
level. Indeed it was
possible for all the
individual markets
or
sectors to be in disequilibrium but
aggregate demand and supply
to be equal, and
therefore
the
overall economy to be in equilibrium. As
such, he argued that in the
face of
macroeconomic
equilibrium (situations like
unemployment, high inflation
etc.) policy needed
to
focus
on aggregate demand and
aggregate supply rather than
individual markets.
MACROECONOMIC
VARIABLES
To
refresh your memories,
aggregate demand is the
total planned or desired
spending in the
economy
during a given period. It is
determined by the money
supply, aggregate price
level,
consumption,
domestic investment, government
spending and taxes, net
exports (i.e. exports
minus
imports). Aggregate supply is
the total value of goods
and services that firms
would
willingly
produce in a given time
period. Aggregate supply is a
function of available
inputs,
technology
and the price
level.
Disposable
income (Yd)
is
that part of the total
national income (Y) that is
available to
households
for consumption or saving. So
Yd =
Y T.
96
Introduction
to Economics ECO401
VU
Consumption
and Consumption
Function:
Consumption
(C) is the amount of
national income that is
spent on goods and
services
produced
by domestic firms in a given
period of time. Consumption is
the most stable
and
important
component of aggregate demand,
accounting for about
two-thirds to three-fourths of
GDP
in most countries.
The
consumption function is a schedule
relating total consumption to
personal disposable
income.
It usually takes the form
C
= a + bYd =
a + b(Y-T), where a is
the minimum level of
consumption
that must take place
even if Yd is
zero, and b is the marginal
propensity to
consume.
When
drawn in expenditure-income space,
the consumption function
plots as a straight
line
with
positive intercept, and a
positive (but less than 1)
slope. The slope is merely
the MPC.
The
intercept is positive because
some consumption must happen
even at a zero level
of
income
(people will borrow and
spend on food for e.g.),
and the slope is less
than 1 because
not
all the income is consumed
(part of it is saved).
Marginal
Propensity to Consume (MPC)
and Marginal Propensity to
Save (MPS):
Marginal
propensity to consume (MPC) is
the extra amount that
people consume when
they
receive
an extra dollar of disposable
income. MPC's numerical
value is usually between
0.5
and
1, but can vary considerably
across different countries,
population age groups, and
stages
of
a person's life.
Marginal
propensity to save (MPS) is
the fraction of the
additional dollar of disposable
income
that
is saved. Thus, MPC = 1 MPS.
Average propensity to consume
(APC) is the ratio of
total
consumption to total disposable
income. Average propensity to
save (APS) is the ratio
of
total
saving to total disposable
income. As before, APC = 1
APS.
The
Saving Function:
The
saving function yields the
amount of saving that
households of a nation will
undertake at
each
level of income. A usual
formula is S = c + d(Yd).
d is MPS, positive, and
usually less
than
0.5.
The
relationship between saving
and the interest rate is
also important. The
relationship is
positive,
is plotted in i-S space, and
implies that household
saving increases as the
interest
rate
goes up, i.e. the
incentive to keep one's
money in the bank and
earn interest thereon
increases
as the return on that money
increases.
97
Table of Contents:
|
|||||