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Introduction
to Economics ECO401
VU
UNIT
- 9
Lesson
9.1
THE
USE OF MACROECONOMIC DATA, AND THE
DEFINITION AND ACCOUNTING OF
NATIONAL
INCOME
THE
USE OF MACROECONOMIC DATA
As
is said: "there are lies,
damned lies and statistics."
Likewise, macroeconomic statistics
are
also
susceptible of both manipulation
and misinterpretation. In order to
ensure that you
understand
what a particular number or
data representation really
means, the following
need
to
be considered:
i.
Data might be used
selectively. Certain information
might be excluded:
e.g.
inflation
as a whole might have
increased but food inflation
might have fallen.
ii.
In graphs, the vertical and
horizontal scales used might
be such in a way so as to
paint
a very dramatic (or totally
benign) picture of
things.
iii.
Values used might be
absolute, not proportionate.
People might be paying
higher
taxes,
but as a proportion of income,
the same may have
fallen, as incomes
might
have risen even
higher.
iv.
Questions of distribution might be
ignored. For e.g., while
the economy might
have
become richer overall, the
ownership of the higher
wealth might be
highly
skewed
so that the richer have
become richer and poor
poorer.
v.
Data might be nominal or
real. Nominal data is
recorded in money
terms,
unadjusted
for inflation. Real data is
nominal data adjusted for
changes in prices.
Most
macroeconomic data is presented
and analyzed in real terms
so as to
permit
meaningful intertemporal and
cross-country comparisons.
vi.
Certain time periods might
be excluded: e.g. economic
growth might be 4.5%
over
the 1990-95 timeframe, but
only 3.5% over the
1988-97 horizon.
vii.
Data might be aggregate,
ignoring per capita
considerations: e.g. a
country's
national
income goes up but per
capital income goes down
due to a bigger
population.
viii.
vii also applies in the
context of growth rates. So if
national income is growing
at
5%
p.a. but the population at
6% p.a., per capital income
would be falling at
the
rate
of 1% p.a.
THE
DEFINITION AND ACCOUNTING OF NATIONAL
INCOME
Gross
Domestic Product
(GDP):
Gross
domestic product (GDP) is
the value of the total
final output produced inside
a country,
during
a given year. GDP, like all
measures of national income, is a
flow (as opposed to
stock)
figure
accruing over the period of
one year.
Concept
of Flow and
Stock:
A
flow figure refers to a
certain period of time. A
stock figure implies a
particular point in
time
and
therefore changes instantaneously.
Flows accumulate into
stocks. Changes in
stocks
equal
flows. In accounting terminology,
stocks are balance sheet
items, while flows are
income
statement
items.
Ways
of Measuring GDP:
There
are three equivalent ways of
measuring GDP:
i.
The product or value
added method which sums
the value added by all
the
productive
entities in the
economy;
ii.
The expenditure method which
sums up the value of all
the "final goods"
transactions
taking place in the
economy;
89
Introduction
to Economics ECO401
VU
iii.
And the factor income method
which sums up all the
incomes earned by all
the
factors
of production in the economy
(rent for land, wages
for labour, interest
for
capital,
and equity returns for
entrepreneurship).
The
three methods are
equivalent. One way to see
why this must be so is
because in an ex-
post
sense, aggregate supply (i)
= aggregate demand (ii) =
national income
(iii).
Value
added is the
difference between the value
of goods produced and the
cost of materials
and
supplies used in producing
them. Value added consists
of the wages, interest and
profit
components
added to the output by a
firm.
Final
and Intermediate
Goods:
Final
goods are meant for
direct use by the end
consumer rather than for
further processing.
Intermediate
goods are those that
are intended for further
processing. So an iron rod,
if
purchased
by a household as a weapon against
infiltrating thieves would
categorize as a final
good,
but if purchased by a firm
for use in the making of an
automobile would categorize as
an
intermediate
good.
GDP
might be calculated at market
prices (includes sales tax
paid by consumer as part of
the
final
price) or at factor cost
(excludes sales tax). If
there is no sales tax, the
two measures
collapse
to the same thing.
Net
Domestic Product
(NDP):
Net
domestic product (NDP) is
obtained by subtracting depreciation
from GDP. Depreciation is
the
reduction in the value of a
capital good due to the
wear and tear caused
during production.
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