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Operations
Research (MTH601)
10
In
its recent years of organized
development, OR has entered successfully
many
different
areas of research for
military government and industry in
many countries of the
world.
The
basic problem in most of the
developing countries in Asia and
Africa is to remove
poverty
and
improve the standard of living of a
common man as quickly as possible. So
there is a great
scope
for economists, statisticians,
administrators, politicians and the
technicians working in a
team
to solve this problem by an OR approach.
The possible application sectors, in Pakistan,
are
as
under:-
1)
Macro
Economic Planning:
OR
can be employed for Macro-Economic
Planning of the
country:
a)
Input
/ Output Analysis: by using LP
models. This input/output
analysis
can
be of any duration [i.e. of
short term (up to say 10
years)-Five Year
Plan;
and of long term (10-30
years)].
b)
Investment
Planning: OR can be employed in the
Investment Planning of
the
country where investment
plans for the next
five or ten years are
prepared.
Mixed Integer Programming and
Linear Programming
techniques
can be used.
c)
Choice
of Projects: OR can help the people in
the planning in choosing
the
optimal
project. This sort of choice
would need Integer
Programming and
Quadratic
Assignment techniques.
d)
OR
can also be used in Simulation Modeling
of the Economy of the
country.
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Operations
Research (MTH601)
11
2)
Sectoral
Planning:
OR
can also be employed in a particular sector of
the Economy, e.g. in
agriculture,
in finance, in industry, in marketing, in
production, in management
etc.
a)
Scheduling
all operations within a sector can be
done by using OR e.g.
production
scheduling + Distribution planning +
marketing + Personnel
management
+ maintenance + ...............
b)
Schedule
of some operations within a sector can be
done by employing
OR
e.g. Inventory planning in agriculture or
distribution of fertilizer
etc.
3)
Micro
Economic Planning:
This
sort of activity involve for
example:
Planning
the operations of a
Company.
Improving
the layout of a workshop in a
company.
Finding
size of a hospital in an area
etc.
There
is a great potential for utilizing OR in
this area of planning in our
country.
POTENTIAL
AREAS OF APPLICATIONS
As
mentioned earlier OR can be applied in
every field of life. Here
are few of the
many
fields
where OR has potential
application. This list is by no
means comprehensive or
exhaustive
but
definitely will provide an idea of
the power of OR as a separate
discipline.
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Operations
Research (MTH601)
12
Operations
Research in the Public
Sector
Federal,
Provincial and Local
Government
Development
of Country Structure Plans
Manpower
Planning and Career Development in
Govt. Departments
Organization
of Long-Term planning groups at
the National Level
Corporate
Planning in Local
Government
Allocation
of Government Houses
Estimation
of Future Requirement of School/College
Building
Placing
of Fire Brigade in a
City
Measuring
the Effectiveness of
Police
Timetabling
in Schools and Colleges for
Efficient use of
Space
Health
Management
policies for 120-bed nursing
units
Optimum
size of general hospitals
Appointment
systems for hospital
outpatients
Stock
control for regional and
area health units
National
and area planning of health
services
Manpower
planning for nurses, radiographers,
etc.
Commissioning
of a new general
hospital
Simulation
of pathology laboratories
Organizing
an ambulance service
Care
provided by community nurses
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Operations
Research (MTH601)
13
Defense
Arms
control and disarmament studies
Communications
network development
Logistic
support in operations
Field
experimentation
War
games and other models of
battle
Equipment
procurement
Reinforcement
and redeployment problems
Operations
Research in Industry &
Commerce
Finance
and Investment
Developing
the five-year plan for a
food manufacturer
Development
of the pipeline
Computer
based financial
planning
Portfolio
selection
Structure
for the assets of a
bank
Evaluating
investment in a new
plant
Corporate
planning in the chemical
industry
Financing
expansion of a small
firm
Production
Production
scheduling in a steel works
Meeting
peak demands for
electricity
Minimization
of costs of power station
maintenance
Scheduling
newsprint deliveries
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Operations
Research (MTH601)
14
Stock
levels of steel plate
Meeting
seasonal demands for
products
Blending
scrap metals
Stock
policy for a paint
manufacturer
Allowing
for yarn breaks in
spinning
Meeting
customer requirements for
carpets
Planning
a quarry's output
Optimum
layout for belt coal
transport in a colliery
Marketing
Launching
a new product
Advertising
effectiveness and cost
Planning
sales territories
Measurement
of consumer loyalty
Buyer-seller
behavior
Advertising
research and media scheduling
Most
profitable retail brand
mix
Developing
customer service
policies
Pricing
policies for
confectionery
Personnel
Personnel
shift planning
Manpower
planning
Manpower
for an assembly line
Effects
of flexible working
hours
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Operations
Research (MTH601)
15
Distribution
Distribution
of Products.
Returnable
bottles: how many?
Refinery
crude tank capacity
Depot
location of pharmaceutical
products
Trucking
policy for dairy
products
Distribution
of newspapers to newsagents
OR
in Transport
Rail
Rail
freight management
Required
fleet size of locomotives and rolling
stock
Forecasting
passenger traffic
Planning
reconstruction of main-line
termini
Introduction
of freightliners
Road
Designing
urban road networks
Forecasts
of car ownership
Implementation
of bus lanes
Re-routing
bus services
Purchasing
and maintenance of buses
Introduction
of flat-fare buses
Bus
services in rural areas
Preparation
of crew rosters
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Operations
Research (MTH601)
16
Air
Planning
the introduction of Boeing
737/Airbus 300
Allocation
of aircraft and crew to
routes
Location
of Islamabad Airport
Karachi-Lahore
- Islamabad - Peshawer: aircraft
requirements
Sea
Potential
traffic for new container
services
Shipbuilding
requirement in the
1990's
Optimum
ship size for given
routes
Construction
and management of a container
terminal
EXAMPLE
Before
proceeding further let us take an
example, which will help to
understand the scope
of
application in various activities.
Given below are some of
the major activities
which
OPERATIONS:
1)
Oil
production from
fields
2)
Transportation
of Crude
from
fields to refineries
from
fields to export ports
(Jetties)
from
import ports (Jetties) to
refineries
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Operations
Research (MTH601)
17
3)
Storage
of Crude
on
fields
at
Ports
at
refineries
4)
Refinery
Scheduling
Operation
of CDU's
Operation
of Blending Units
5)
Storage
of Distilled Blended
Products
at
refineries
at
Jetties
at
distribution points
6)
Transportation
of Products
from
Jetties to refineries
from
one refinery to another for
another processing
from
refinery to bulk distribution
pts.
from
bulk distribution points to
final consumers.
At
all the stages from
oil production from fields
to its transportation to the
final consumer
OR
has been employed in the
developed countries of the
world. Applying on macro
level is not
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Operations
Research (MTH601)
18
an
easy job. This would
require true and factual
data computing power and
trained
professionals,
and perhaps at this stage we
may face some problem due to
limited resources in
term
of manpower, money and machines,
but it does not mean that we
should not make a
beginning.
REQUIREMENTS
FOR APPLYING SUCCESSFUL
OR
In
order to apply OR successfully in
achieving certain objectives
the following are
some
of
the prerequisites:
1)
Sufficient
number of qualified OR personnel
should be available
who
should
know the art of selling
OR. These professional should be
ready to
work
in close cooperation with staff at
various levels of the
organization
because
they have to dig out
the problem from the
grass roots.
2)
Normally,
there is a tendency of management to give
false information, in
order
to create a better image, and sometime
there may be a lack
of
adequate
communication between OR practitioner and
management. To
meet
these circumstances there
should be a healthy interaction
with the
statistical
machinery so as to enhance the quality
and availability of data.
3)
Satisfactory
power of computer machinery
along with associated
support
should
be available so as to analyze the
data and forecast correctly.
For
this
management should be aware of modern
techniques and tools of
management.
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Operations
Research (MTH601)
19
4)
Last
but not the least management
should be ready to accept
the change
and
be enthusiastic to know the
correct alternatives.
CONCLUSION
In
the proceeding paras we traced
briefly the history of OR;
defined OR, and its
process;
elaborated
various techniques of OR;
identified various areas of
application and requirements
for
successfully
applying OR. Before
concluding it will be most appropriate to
quote Stafford Beer,
the
famous OR Scientists.
"We
call that work operational
(with a large O) because it is
based in the
world
of genuine activity, the
places where things actually
happen. All good
sciences,
as distinguished from all
mysticism is found in empiricism. It
involves
actual
observation, actual measurement and
actual experiment."
We
call our work Research
(with a capital R) because we deal
with
problems
to which no one knows the
answer.
"Doing
that thing is called
RESEARCH!"
Finally
I would say,
"We
need OR teams of outstanding
abilities, working on problems of
decision &
control
at the National Level.
Because these problems are
usually discussed in
economic
terms, they are currently
assumed to be purely economic
problems."
19
Operations
Research (MTH601)
20
BUT
THEY ARE NOT
"Interdisciplinary
Scientific teams are needed
to evaluate issues subject
to
conflicting
criteria."
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Operations
Research (MTH601)
21
REFERENCES
Bellman,
Richard E. Dynamic Programming.
Princeton University.
Press
Gale,
David, The Theory of Linear
Economic Models.
McGraw-Hill
Hadley,
G., Linear Programming.
Addison Wesley
Ackoff,
R. L., and P. Rivett, A Manager's
Guide to Operations Research,
Wiley
Dantzig,
George B., Linear Programming and
Extensions, Princeton University
Press
Hadley,
G., Nonlinear and Dynamic
Programming, Addison
Wesley
Ackoff,
Russell L., and Maurice W. Sasieni,
Fundamentals of Operations Research,
Wiley
Beale,
E. M. L., Ed. Applications of
Mathematical Programming Techniques.
English
University.
Press
Rivett,
P., Principles of Model
Building, Wiley
Wagner,
Harvey M. Principles of Operations
Research, Prentice-Hall
Taha,
Hamdy A., Operations Research: An
Introduction, Macmillan
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