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Management
of Financial Institutions - MGT
604
VU
Lecture
# 34
The
Leasing Sector in Pakistan and its Role
in Capital Investment
From
the Third World perspective
where a major source of economic
capital is a form of
foreign
or local debt, Leasing acts
as a hybrid form of debt cum
investment. In the
80's,
when
Pakistan floated its first
leasing company, the
characteristic of `asset-based'
financing
made
it a more `Islamic' form of
lending. (Asset based
lending is a permitted form of
debt-
financing
in Islam). From the
perspective of developmental finance,
Leasing provided an
alternative
to interest based
debt.
Leasing
as investment indicator
Hypothetically,
since leasing is directly related to
the acquisition of an asset,
indicating the
Aggregate
Investment in Leasing (AIL) of the
leasing sector, in a country and at a
point in
time,
would indicate the amount of
incremental and fresh capital
investment in a year.
Hypothetically,
we may ignore `leakages'
such as rescheduling and duplicate
leasing.
The
aggregate figure for
`Investment in Leasing' for
the leasing sector in Pakistan has
been
ranging
between PKR18bn to PKR25bn
over the past three years.
We do not have
statistics
regarding
the exact percentage of new
investment in plant and machinery or
other income
generating
assets. I think I can safely estimate
about 90% of the AIL is
plant and machinery.
Of-course,
the AIL is only indicative of
new capital investment if compared
with the same
over
the previous year. A fairly
rough estimate of incremental capital
investment would
therefore
be an average of Rs3billion per year.
This does not mean all
new investment in a
year.
That would be much higher
since part of the AIL would be paid
back, depending on
the
life of the lease
contract.
The
cost of leasing for a Pakistani
lessee averages around
20-25% per annum. The
effective
cost
for a tax-paying lessee may
be 16-20%. Assuming an 18% cost of
capital (weighted
average)
for the lessee, the
asset can only generate a
net income for the
lessee, if the lessee
in
turn earns at least 19-21% per
annum from the asset.
This would only be possible in
high
growth
sectors of the economy. In my
experience, it is rare to see a gross
profit margin of
20%,
especially in the manufacturing
sectors who are the
prime clients for leasing
Plant and
Machinery.
The obvious and glaring fact
seems to be that the biggest
market of leasing
cannot
afford the product. The
question then remains, "who
is able to buy?"
The
other target markets of
leasing are commercial-trade/service
enterprises and small
pockets
of manufacturers. Commercial-trade/service enterprises
for obvious reasons do
not
invest
in capital machinery. Small pockets of
manufacturers boil down to
the ubiquitous
multinational
or the established Pakistani Group
who invests in a new project
or modernizes
existing
operations. The reason why
this market may find
leasing cost effective is
because
their
overall cost of capital is effectively
low enough to absorb the
cost of leasing; in effect
they
use an already cash rich
company/division to finance a new
venture. The other
possibility
is that the new project
has foreign equity interest,
which acts as a source of
comfort
for the Pakistani lessor and
provides support for import
costs. A third reason
for
choosing
leasing is as hedge against investing
equity. In a macro-economic scenario
where
debt
is the lynchpin of most
investment, an investor would
like to reduce the risk
of
investing
equity.
121
Management
of Financial Institutions - MGT
604
VU
Leasing
as working capital
Due
to the reasons stated above,
the product is being used as
a source of working capital
and
quite often as a competing
product with short term
loans from commercial banks.
A
sale
and lease back transaction is an instant
source of funds, payable over
the long-term.
However,
these days an SLB transaction is
being used as a vehicle for
a direct lease quite
often.
Because of the enhanced rate of tax at
source on direct leases levied
from July 98 as
against
a nil rate for sale and
lease-back transactions, lessees
prefer to show the lease as
a
Sale
and Leaseback transaction. At the
time of processing and obtaining
approval, the asset
may
not have been purchased;
but once the lessee is
assured of the financing,
the asset is
purchased
and necessary documents
processed.
Lessors
as financial intermediaries
With
the demise of the
development financial institution of
Pakistan, a source of cheaper
funds
for long-term capital
investment has dried-up. The
private financial sector has
grown
tremendously
in the last decade after
the IMF's directives of
liberalization and de-regulation
were
effected. Greater economic
efficiency, in terms of resource
mobilization and
allocation,
was expected after the deregulation of
the economy.
However,
the expected economic efficiency is
still a long-way away. The
private sector has
not
been able to satisfy the
long-term capital needs of
the economy. Lessor are
suffering
from
chronic mismatch of funds and
lack of availability of long-term
funds. Foreign
investors
are a moody resource at the
best of times and relying on
foreign funds is a
risky
strategy.
Contrary to the idea that
the South Asian nuclear
tests were responsible for
driving
away
investors and the low
popularity of Pakistan's investment
market, the absence
of
investors,
be they foreign or local, is a
symptom of deteriorating economic
conditions over
the
past 3-4 years.
The
true cost of leasing or the `economic'
cost of leasing
Based
on the principles of a `free
market', the true cost of
leasing (from an
economic
perspective)
is its return to the economy
as a whole. If there is a marked and
substantial
difference
between the rate of return of
the lessor and the cost of the
lessee (like in
Pakistan),
there may be inefficiency in
the sector--a big gap in
demand and supply or some
other
dis-equilibrium. Of-course, this is
not true for manufacturing
sectors and other
services
and products where the value
added to a product is perceived to be
high. In the
financial
services, value added cannot be
high due to the nature of
the product. In Pakistan,
the
net profit margin of the
lessor ranges between 3% and 5%.
The cost of lease to
the
lessee
is 18-20%. Where is the bulk
in between the two going?
Who/what is earning
this
difference
and Who is being burdened
with the cost of the
difference?Poor credit
policy,
corruption,
high uncertainty, and poor
quality of information available
are a few of the
symptoms
and reasons for the
disparity in returns. The
`real' reason may well be
the
outflow
of capital from developing
countries to the developed
countries like the
USA,
because
of the `dollarization' of their economies
... and consequent rapid
devaluation of
their
own currency.
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