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Investment
Analysis & Portfolio Management
(FIN630)
VU
Lesson
# 43
FUTURES
Contd...
Financial
Futures:
Financial
futures are futures
contracts on equity indexes,
fixed-income securities, and
currencies.
They give investors greater
opportunity to fine tune the
risk-return
characteristics
of their portfolios. In recent years,
this flexibility has become
increasingly
important
as interest rates have
become much more volatile
and as investors have
sought
new
techniques to reduce the risk of
equity positions. The
drastic changes that
have
occurred
in the financial markets in
the last 15 to 20 years could be
said to have generated
a
genuine
need for new financial
instruments that allow
market participants to deal with
these
changes.
The
procedures for trading financial
futures are the same as
those for any other
commodity
with
few exceptions. At maturity;
stock-index futures settle in
cash, because it would
be
impossible
or impractical to deliver all
the stocks in a particular index.
Unlike traditional
futures,
contracts, stock-index futures
typically have no daily
price limits (although they
can
be
imposed).
We will
divide the subsequent discussion of
financial futures into the
two major categories
of
contracts, interest rate futures
and, stock-index futures.
Hedging and speculative
activities
within each category are
discussed separately.
Interest
Rate Futures:
Bond
prices are highly volatile, and
investors are exposed to
adverse price
movements,
financial
futures, in effect, allow
bondholders and others who
are affected by
volatile
interest
rates to transfer the risk.
One of the primary reasons
for the growth in
financial
futures
is that portfolio managers and
investors are trying to
protect themselves against
adverse
movements-in interest rates. An investor
concerned with protecting
the value of,
fixed-income
securities must consider the
possible impact of interest rates on
the value of
these
securities.
Today's
investors have the
opportunity to consider several
different interest rate
futures
contracts
that are traded on various exchanges.
The Chicago Mercantile
Exchange
trades
contracts on Treasury bills and
the one-month LIBOR rate as
well as euro dollars.
The
Chicago Board of Trade (CBT)
specializes in longer-maturity instruments,
including
Treasury
notes (of various maturities,
such as two-year and five-year) and
Treasury bonds
(of
different contract sizes).
Short
Hedges:
Since so
much common stock is "held
by investors, the short
hedge is the natural type
of
contract
for most investors.
Investors who hold stock
portfolios hedge market risk
by selling
stock-index
futures, which means they
assume a short
position.
A
short hedge can be implemented by
selling a forward maturity of
the contract. The
purpose of
this hedge is to offset (in
total or in part) any losses
on the stock portfolio
with
gains on
the futures-position. To implement
this defensive strategy, an
investor would sell
one or
more index futures
contracts. Ideally, the
value of these contracts
would equal the
242
Investment
Analysis & Portfolio Management
(FIN630)
VU
value
of the stock portfolio. If
the market falls, leading to
a loss on the cash (the
stock
portfolio)
position, stock-index futures prices
wilt also fall, leading to a
profit for sellers of
futures.
Long
Hedges:
The
long hedger, while awaiting
funds to invest, generally
wishes to reduce the risk
of
having
to pay more for an -equity
position when prices rise.
Potential users of a long
hedge
include
the following:
1.
Institutions with a regular
cash flow who use
long hedges to improve the
timing of
their
positions.
2.
Institutions switching large
positions who wish to hedge
during the time it takes
to
complete
the process, (This could
also be a short hedge.)
243
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