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Investment
Analysis & Portfolio Management
(FIN630)
VU
Lesson
# 40
THE
ROLE OF DERIVATIVE
ASSETS
A
Banker and corporate treasure perambulate
past in pet shop window and spy a dog
for
sale.
The banker buys it for
$5, then sells it to treasure
for $10. A few days later,
the banker
wants
it back, so he bids $20. The dog
keeps changing hand until
the banker buys it for
$1
million.
Then the dog escapes from
the bank and is killed by a
car. The treasurer is
furious:
"Couldn't
you have been more
careful?" he complains to the
banker. "Don't you
realize
how
much money we were making in
that dog?"
INTRODUCTION:
Derivative
assets get their name from
the fact that their
value derives from some
other asset.
A
coupon for a free Big
Mac is not inherently
valuable; the paper on which
it is printed is
virtually
worthless. We all agree that
the coupon is valuable for
what it represents: the
chance to get a $
2.50 sandwich for nothing.
The coupon is a simple
derivative asset.
The
best- known derivative assets
are futures and options are
the focus of this
chapter.
Many
other kinds of derivative
assets, such as swaps,
swaptions, and inverse floaters,
have
vastly
different risk characteristics.
Plain vanilla derivative
assets are enormously useful
to
corporate
treasurers, mutual funds, endowments,
pension funds, and financial
institutions.
At
the same time, they
are widely misunderstood by
the general public, by Congress, and
by
many
people in the investment business
(including many who should
know better). Ralph
Mercer,
writing in Global Finance,
states, "The adoption of
generic term `derivative'
(i.e.,
derived
from something else') to
describe a complex spectrum of
financial products, was a
public
relation disaster." Derivatives
are not all the
same; some are inherently
speculative,
some
are highly
conservative.
BACKGROUND:
The
Rationale for Derivative
Assets:
The
first organized derivatives
exchange in the United
States was probably the
Chicago
Board
of Trade, founded in 1848.
This future exchange
developed in order to bring
stability
in
agricultural prices. The farmer's
problem is easy to understand.
Everyone's wheat was
harvested
at essentially the same
time. As it arrived at market in
quantity, principles of
economics
prevailed. The huge supply
caused prices to decline sharply,
with the decline
aggravated by
farmers who sold "at
any price" for fear
they would not be able to
sell at all.
Later,
during the winter, prices
rose because of consistent demand in
the face of dwindling
supply.
The
future market enabled farmers to
eliminate or reduce their price
risk, the risk of
not
knowing
the ultimate proceeds from
the sale of their crops. It
serves this same
function
today.
Using futures, the farmers
could (if they wished)
promise to deliver their
crop in the
future
at a known a price, thereby
reducing anxiety and promoting
market stability. Of
equal
importance
is the fact that financial
managers can use derivatives to
eliminate the price
risk
of
their stock, bond, and
foreign currency portfolios or
obligations.
Today's
communication technology brings us
virtually instantaneous information
about
events
such as earthquakes in Turkey, airline
accidents, world trade balances, and Federal
Reserve
Board interest rate activity. These
events influence the value
of our investments.
Experienced
investors are seldom 100
percent bullish or 100 percent bearish.
The constant
229
Investment
Analysis & Portfolio Management
(FIN630)
VU
arrival
of new information means the
investment process is dynamic.
Positions need to be
constantly
reassessed and portfolios
adjusted.
DERIVATIVE
ASSETS AND THE
NEWS:
Current
Events:
Newspapers in
recent years have been full of
reports on various businesses
that have lost
billions
"investing in derivatives." Orange
county, California; Proctor and
Gamble;
Metalgesellschaft;
Gibson Greeting Cards are a
few of firms receiving
particularly
voluminous
press coverage. Brokerage firms
have been deluged with
calls from
individuals
asking
if there are any
"derivatives" in their account.
Reminiscent of Seven Up's
"no
caffeine"
advertising that infuriated
the soft drink industry a
number of years ago and set
off
the
subsequent caffeine-free range, some
money market mutual funds
bill themselves as
"derivative
free."
Difficulty
in educating the user is a perennial
problem in the investments business. It
is hard
enough
to get the typical citizen to
understand that stock pays
dividends, not interest
and
that
you can sell abound before
its 30-year life is up.
Puts, calls, futures, and
other
derivatives
is the outside the
vocabulary of all but the
best informed.
Bonds,
in fact, provide a good example of
quandary in which rational people
might find
themselves
immersed during a discussion of
derivatives. Suppose a county treasure
bond $1
million
par value pf the principal
portion of the stripped U.S.
Treasury bond as a
long-term
investment,
full expecting to hold the
bond for its 30-year
life.
Risk
of Derivative Assets:
One
of the most important things
a finance professional can learn
about derivative asset
is
that
they neutral products.
Futures and options are not
inherently risky, dangerous,
inappropriate,
or anything else. Their risk
depends on what an investor
does with them.
A person
responsible for the management of
someone else's money has a
fiduciary
responsibility
to act prudently. Legal experts in
this area have struggled
for years with the
fact
that the term speculation is
almost impossible to define
adequately. People will
agree
that
church endowment funds, the
YWCA, and public library should
not "speculate" with
entrusted
funds, but there is no
consensus on what it means.
Some books say that a
speculation
is anything accompanied by a chance of loosing
money. If this definition
is
accepted,
then common stock is an
ineligible investment, because
the stock market
certainly
experiences ups
and downs. Almost, everyone
recognizes the necessity of
equities in long-
term
portfolios, so this definition is
unsatisfactory.
The
same definitional problem plagues
the user of derivative assets.
The public
overwhelmingly
views futures and options as
"super risky" even though
few folks with
this
opinion
ca tell you what they
are. You can explain that
insurance policies, adjustable
rate
mortgages, and
football tickets are
derivative assets, but, as
the philosopher said, "To
prove
the
thing is not enough; you
must convince someone to
accept it." We will see in
the
following
chapters that futures and options make
life much simpler for
portfolio managers
and
that policies precluding
their use are usually ill
conceived.
Listed
vs. Over-the-Counter
Derivatives:
Before
ending this discussion, one
more point needs to be made.
There is a world of
difference
between an exchange-traded asset and one
created as a private
transaction
230
Investment
Analysis & Portfolio Management
(FIN630)
VU
between
two parties. An APR Microsoft
call from the Chicago
Board Options Exchange,
for
instance,
is a listed option. As such, it
has standardized characteristics, is guaranteed by
the
Options
Clear Corporations, is fungible and can
be quickly traded if desired.
The
vast majority, if not all,
of the derivative horror stories deal
with derivatives that are
not
exchange-
traded. They are called
over-the-counter derivatives. A large,
multinational firm
might
approach several money center banks and
ask each to design and price a
product
carefully
defined degree of protection against
market risk, interest rate
risk, and foreign
exchange
rate risk. Each of the banks wants to
provide the service, and
each knows that
other
institutions are bidding on
the job.
One
of the fascinating things
about the derivatives
business is that a product can be
built for
the
client in many different
ways. One version might be
sturdy (and expensive),
capable of
withstanding
volatility and unexpected shocks in the
marketplace. Another product
might be
much
less expensive, but prone to
explode into a million
pieces if the market moves
too
much
in the wrong direction.
Often the client lacks
the sophistication to understand
these
differences,
and buys the product largely
on the basis of the lower
cost. Unexpectedly
large
increases
in interest rates caused
this latter situation to
occur with the derivative
products
used
by the unlucky firms of the
1990s newspapers
headlines.
As
investor can still get in trouble
with inappropriate use of
listed derivative.
Outright
speculation
is always dangerous, and leverage should
be used judiciously. Still a
well-
conceived
derivatives strategy is part of good
management at many businesses. Risk is
a
fact
of life, and derivatives are a
helpful tool in dealing with
it. We don't like fires,
but that
should
not mean we hate the fire
department.
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