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Investment
Analysis & Portfolio Management
(FIN630)
VU
Lesson
# 25
MARKET
INDEXES
Introduction:
Indexes
are useful in assessing
investment results. They
provide a benchmark against
which
performance
can be compared. They also useful in
financial research, through which
an
investigator
seeks to discover the
relationship between certain
economic variables and
market
results. In fact, most of us
keep abreast of developments in
"the market" by
watching
the indexes. Because
television or radio announcers
cannot possibly cover
price
changes
for every security, they
quote the value of some
well-known market measure,
such
as
the Dow Jones Industrial
Average. On-the-hour radio
news frequently concludes
with a
statement
such as "On Wall Street, the
Dow Jones Industrial Average
is up 123 points on
volume
of 630 million shares." To investors
everywhere, this news is an
indicator of the
day's
market activity and a good clue as to
what is happening with their
own favorite
securities.
This chapter provides an
overview of some of the most
popular indexes.
Index
Construction:
Indexes
can be useful in following investment
performance, but only if an
investor knows
what
the index is measuring and
how similar the index is to
a particular investment
portfolio.
Knowing that the general
level of bond prices in Singapore
declined today may
not
tell investors much about
how U.S computer stock
fared.
Price
Weighting:
A
price-weighted index is composed of a
single share of each of the
index component,
regardless
of the price of the share or
the size of the underlying
company: the Dow
Jones
Industrial
Average (DJIA) is an example of
such an index. The first
step the 30
industrial
companies
comprising the index.
A
problem with a price-weighted
index lies in the
distortions that occur when
a company in
the
index chooses to split its
stock. On day one the value
of a portfolio composed of one
share
in each of the three stocks is
$60. On day two, company a
splits its shares three
for
one,
which causes company A's
share price to fall to $10.
One share in each of the
three
companies
now costs a total of
$40.
Someone
unaware of company A's stock
split would observe the
decline in the index
from
$60 to $40 and
conclude that the market
lost a third of its value
overnight. This
conclusion
however
would obviously be inaccurate
because the decline in value
stemmed purely from
an
accounting change.
To deal
with this problem, analyses
use a divisor to adjust the
value of the portfolio
before
reporting
the final value of the
index. The divisor ensures
the index does not
change
artificially
because of the split.
Some
interpretation problems arise
with a price-weighted index.
For one thing,
high-value
stocks
carry more weight than
lower-valued issues, which
may distort the bigger
picture the
index
purports to provide. Also
price weighting carries a bias against a
growth stock. As its
price
raises a growth stock share
carries more weigh in the
index. After the shares
reach too
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