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Investment
Analysis & Portfolio Management
(FIN630)
VU
Lesson
# 19
GATHERING
INVESTMENT INFORMATION
Introduction:
The
business of choosing investments is an
art rather than a science;
there is no best way
to
do
it, nor is there even a
right or wrong way. Chapter
seven and eight discussed
the
fundamental
and the technical analysis
school of though on stock
selection. Chapter
nine
discussed
market efficiency and why investor
should be realistic with
their expectations
for
the
outcome of the investment research.
Regardless of the stand investors
taken on the
matter
of predicting the future,
they need to organize their
research efforts efficiently.
This
chapter
provides a summary of some of
the most popular reference
material. Before using
it
though
an investor needs a game
plan.
RESEARCH
PHILOSPHY:
Someone
once said that it is hand to
accomplish your goals until
you know what it is
you
want
to accomplish. This motto is a good one
for the investment analyst
to follow. The
conduct
of investment research should be a
part of a boarder activity. As a preamble
to the
process
of gathering information, an investor
should ask two
questions.
1.
What kind of information do I
want?
2. Why
should this information be
useful to me?
Keeping
these thoughts in mind will
contribute to a more discipline and
logical approach to
investment
research.
Before
conducting any research, formally
decide what kind of
information will be
useful.
Know
Thyself:
Most
people have internal bases or
preconceptions that are
generally difficult to
overcome.
Perhaps
some people are not even
interested in trying to overcome
all of them. Knowing
their
own attitudes towards
various issues can be a big
help in allowing investors to
make
productive
use of their research
time.
1.
Fundamental Analysis:
An
investor needs to consider
the following question: Are
you a fundamental analyst
at
heart? Do
you believe the financial
statements provide useful information and
that the
marketplace
focuses on them in determining investment
values? If so, an investor will
want
to
investigate these accounting
records.
The
more someone explores and
learn about accounting records,
the more that person
can
learn
from them. As shown
previously, a firm can have
rising net income at the
same time
its
cash follow from operations
is falling. The informed
fundamental analyst knows
that
facts
and will generally not be content
with summary information of
the type presented in
some
of the research sources
described in this chapter.
Anyone can do a cursory job
of
reviewing
the numbers; the experts
are going to work at it a
lot harder than the
hobbyist.
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2.
Technical Analysis:
A
plethora of academic research
exists showing the title
relationship between some
people
technical
indicators and subsequent stock market
performance. Despite this
discrepancy,
many
efficient market advocates
are unwilling to dismiss technical
analyst techniques;
they
routinely
incorporate technical tools
such as a chart into their
decisions-making process. If
some
people truly believe technical
analysis is of no value as the
efficient market
hypothesis
indicates
why would they read
technical comments in investment
advisory services or look
at
charts?
There
is nothing wrong, with
considering a particular type of
information. Investors act
illogically,
however, when they say
something is worthless but
still spend time studying
it.
Looking
charts is not a crime; there
is no need to study them in
the dark of night when
no
one is
around.
To
prove a thing is not enough;
you must convince someone to
accept it.
3. The
Experts' Approach:
Some
people would do well to realize
that their investment
decision are largely made on
the
basis
of what someone else says
and are seldom the result of
their own research. Much
of
the
research emanating from brokerage
houses and investment advisory services
is quite
good.
Investors should consider it
carefully and give it substantial
weight in security
selection.
Screening:
Understanding
personal attitudes toward
the investment selection
process is helpful in
constructing
a useful sector of the security
universe. Screening is the
term used to describe
the
process of sorting though
the list of potential
investments. The use of some
type of
screen
is almost always necessary in
security selection, because
too many different
alternatives
make through investigation of them
all impossible, even with
the aid of a
computer.
Not
only are thousands of
potential investment listed on
the New York
NASDAQ
Exchanges,
thousands more are traded in
the over-the-counter market. An
investor who
spent
five minutes looking at each
of 500 possible picks would need
2,500 minutes (a 40
hour
work week) to check out
this sample.
The
reminder of this chapter will
look at some of the most
important sources of
information
to
both the individual investor
and to the security
analyst.
Screening
is the process of sorting through
the list of potential
investments.
RESOURCES
AT THE LIBRARY:
Newcomers
to the business reference
section of the library
quickly discover that two
names
dominate
much of the stock market
reference material on the
shelves: Standard & Poor's
and
Moody's. These two companies are
widely respected and, to a
large extent,
duplicate
each
other's services. Many people eventually
develop a preference for one
company's
material
over the other, becoming
either an "S&P person" or a "Moody's
person". Both
companies
provide excellent
material.
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Standard &
Poor's and Moody's publish easy-to-use
reference material that can be
found
in
most public
libraries.
Standard
and Poor's Publications:
The
Standard & Poor's Corporation
publishes a wide variety of
reports on the company,
on
industries
and on about 5,500 individual stocks.
Seven of these publications can be
especially
useful in helping from
investment decisions.
1.
Stock Guide:
The
S&P Stock Guide is published
monthly; it contains summary
statistics on several
thousand
common stock, preferred stocks,
warrants, and mutual funds.
This publication is
small
enough to carry conveniently in a coat
pocket.
Most
users of the Stock Guide
use to get a company's stock
symbol, its line of business,
its
recent
price, or its price earning
ratio. It provides other
information too, and for
this reason
is standard
equipment in many briefcases.
Standard &
Poor's rates a common stocks
earning and dividends in the
same manner as with
bonds.
Some historical price ranges
appear after a brief
description of the company's
line of
business.
The next set of columns
shows price activity for
the previous month, followed
by
annualized
total returns for the
past 12, 36 and 60
months.
The
company information continues
across the fold of the
booklet. The next two
sets of
columns
give actual and indicated
dividend information. Then come
two columns of
balance
sheet information.
The
last two sets of columns
provide income statement
information, focusing on
earning.
The
guide shows earning for
the last five years plus
intern earnings for the
fiscal year to
date.
The symbol "y" indicates the
earning shown are fully
diluted rather than
primary.
A
number of footnotes and other
codes are used and may be
important in the
listing.
The
paragraph mark indicates the
company is part of the S&P 500
index. The symbol
indicates
options trade on the stock,
the superscript indicates
cycle two on the
Chicago
Board
Options Exchange (option
expiring in March, June,
September and December).
The
check
mark indicates "stock for
which research reports,
investment reports or street
reports
are
available".
Information
about stock split and stock
dividends from the last
five years appears in
footnotes
on the right side of the
listing. While a complete
stock analysis will require
more
information
than that presented in the
stock guide, a substantial
amount of information
lies
within
its pages. It is a handy
tool for investors.
2.
Stock Report:
If an
investor needs more
information than the stock
guide provides, the S&P
stock report is
a good place to go
next. This one page front
and back document provides a
surprisingly
through
description of a company and estimate of
what the future holds
for it. These reports
are
updated quarterly and appear in a
loose-leaf binder in most
public libraries.
Many
investors
like graphs, as discussed earlier.
The Stock Report provides a
bar graph of the
stock
price along with the
line graph showing 10 and 30
week moving averages and
relative
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strength
line. Standard & Poor's recently
begin providing a specific
option on the stock
it
follows.
A few
paragraphs indicate current
corporate events, statistical
data, and anticipated
future
activities.
The flip side of the
report is more detailed balance
sheet and income
statement
information
than provided in the Stock
Guide. Note in the "ratio
analysis" section that
five
commonly
used financial indicators
appear: a liquidity ratio
(the current ratio), a debt
ratio
(percentage of
capital from long term
debt) a profit margin (net
incomes as a percent of
revenues)
and two profitability measures
(ROA and ROE). The footer
provides a corporate
address,
telephone number and name of the
corporate officers.
It is
logical to compare these ratios
with industry average
reported in Dun &
Bradstreet's
key
business ratio as we did in
the chapter on fundamental
analysis. If an investor asks
a
broker
or investment advisor for
information on a particular company, a
copy of the S&P
stock
report is a likely candidate for
emulsion in the information packet.
The stock report is
available
on every stock traded on the
New York and American stock
exchanges, and on
more
than 1,000 NASDAQ
securities.
3. Bond
Guide:
The
S&P bond guide is a companion
publication in the stock
guide. It contains
summary
information
about corporate and many
municipal debt issues.
4.
Outlook:
The
S&P outlook is a weekly loose-leaf
publication providing summary
options and
statistics
on a variety of stock and bond
market indicators as well as
individual issue.
Weekly
section includes rising and
falling stars, rapid growth
stock, and stocks with
high
dividend
growth. One industry is
usually highlighted for special
comment in each issue.
We
see a short summary of
Standard's and Poor's thought
about the appropriate
investment
behavior
at present. The graph shows
fewer firms raising
dividends, a relationship
followed
by
technical and fundamental analysis
alike.
5.
Stock Market Encyclopedia:
The
S&P stock market encyclopedia
contains a description of each of
the stocks making up
the
S&P 500 stock market index. It is a
competition of the appropriate S&P
Stock Reports.
6.
Earning Forecaster:
The
S&P earning forecaster is a
competition of the earning per
share estimates of about
60
investments
analysis firm. The
publication covers approximately
1,600 different stocks. Of
particular
interest to investor are those
firms that show a change in
the earning estimate.
7. Corporation
Records:
S&P
Corporation Records provides a
comprehensive summary of the
firm's capital
structure.
The terms of its debt agreements, a
listing of subsidiaries, and recent news
reports
about
the firm arranged alphabetically by
firm (about 7,000) in seven
loose-leaf volumes.
New
security issue and bond
rating changes receive
particular attention. It comes
with a
daily,
weekly and biweekly cumulative
index. The corporation records
are published
annually
with daily updates.
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Mergent
/ Moody's Publications:
Moody's
is a well-known statistical service
that was recently acquired by
Mergent Inc.
These
publications are likely to be
known by both names for a
number of years.
1.
Manuals:
While
investors can satisfy most
quickly information needs
whit the stock reports,
the stock
guide
on the Bond guide, on
occasions they cannot find
what they need in these
sources.
Moody's
manuals are a good place to turn
next. This publication
contains several sets
of
volumes:
one each on industrial firms,
municipals and governments,
over-the-counter
industrial,
public utilities, transportation
issues banking and finance, and
international firms.
An
especially common problem is
when an investor seeks
information about a company
that
does
not have publicity traded
stock because the firm is
subsidiary of another company
or
because
the firm is privately held.
The blue pages section in
the Moody's Manuals
book
contains
a cross reference of subsidiaries. Look
up Taco Bell for instance,
and you will find
that
this firm is a subsidiary of
Pepsi Co.
Moody's
Manual also contain detailed
news reports about a firm,
more detailed
financial
statements,
another relevant information
that is not included in the
S&P stock report
because
of space limitations. This
information source is a heavy book,
expensive to acquire,
and
not conveniently taken far
from its shelf.
Most
quick information needs can be
satisfied with the S&P Stock Report,
Stock Guide,
or Bond
Guide.
2.
Dividend Record:
When
it is necessary to investigate the
recent dividend history of a
company (payment
dates,
ex-dividend dates, etc.),
Mergent Dividend Record is one of
the most convenient
place to get
this information quickly.
The reference room in most
public libraries carries
this
weekly
service.
3. Bond
Record:
Mergent
Bond Record is a comprehensive
document on virtually all
aspects of debt
securities.
It provides the Moody's bond
rating, interest payment
dates, sinking fund
provisions,
call dates, the historical
high and low price of the
bond, and the bond's yield
to
maturity.
It also contains a listing of municipal
securities by state.
4.
Handbook of Common
Stock:
Moody's
handbook of common stock is
much like the S&P stock
market encyclopedia. It is
broader,
though, covering about 950 stocks
"with high investor
interest", according to
the
introduction.
The stock report is a single
page front and back, while
the write up in the
handbook
is a single page that comes
out quarterly.
COMPANY
INFORMATION:
Numerous
publications are required
for publicly traded firms.
Because the financial
statements
are audited, investors can
generally place substantial reliance
upon them.
Company
publications are usually
free sources to anyone who
requests them.
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Annual
Reports:
Every
publicly traded company issues an
annual report. An annual
report is a useful
publication
containing a statement from
corporate management about results
from the
previous
year and about prospects for
the future. Financial statements
appear here too.
Readers
will also find information about
most of the firm's principal
activities including
its
subsidiaries.
One
of the first items in the
annual report is the
president's letter to the
shareholders. This
document
usually runs one page or it can
run much longer and be
annotated with graphs and
tables.
One
of the traditional shareholder
rights is the right to vote
on matter of interest to
the
corporation.
Whenever a vote is to be held,
shareholders have the option of
voting in person
at a
company meeting or voting by
proxy (the choice made by
most investors).
Accompanying
the announcement of a forthcoming
vote is the proxy statement
which
outlines
the matter to be decided and
management's position on
them.
In
recent years an increasing number of
shareholders proposals have been included
in the
proxy
statement. Any shareholder has
the right to arrange for a
question to be included in
the
proxy statement. Shareholder
initiatives usually fail but
often make for the
most
interesting
reading in the proxy
statement.
Many
annual reports can be ordered by
calling a toll-free number
listed in the
WSJ.
SEC
Filings:
The
Securities and Exchange Commission
requires certain technical
filing that may also
be
helpful
to investors and analysts.
1.
10-K Report:
The
10-K report is the
Securities and Exchange Commission
equivalent of the
annual
report.
It contains more detailed
financial information here than in
the annual report. A
shareholder
is entitled to receive a copy of
the 10-K report at no charge.
Some firms will
provide
them to anyone who asks
whether they are a
shareholder or not. A full
service
brokerage
firm will usually provide
their customers any 10-K
they request at little or no
charge.
2.
10-Q Report:
The
10-Q report is the quarterly
equivalent of the 10-K
report. It contains much
less
information
than the 10-K but
has the advantage of being
the most current
performance
figures.
Shareholders may receive these
reports upon request.
3.
Schedule 14A:
Schedule
14A is the firm's proxy
statement for shareholders. It can be of
interest to
potential
investors for two reasons.
First it lists the company's
board of director's and tells
you
something about them. Many
investors find an impressive
accomplished board of
directors
a reassurance that management's decisions
will be wise and not half cocked.
The
second
piece of potentially useful
information is the stock
holdings of the corporate
officers
and
directors. When these people
have a substantial ownership
interest in the firm stock.
It
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seems
they would be less likely to
put shareholders wealth in jeopardy by
ill-conceived or
un-usually
risky ventures.
4.
Form 144:
Form
144 is another SEC document
that investors often review.
A corporate insider
who
intends
to sell some of their
personal share must file
this "intent to sell"
document. While
insiders
frequently sell to raise
cash like anyone else it can
be thought provoking if a
number
of insiders are reducing
their holdings in their
firm's stock.
The
Prospectus:
Corporations
often issue new debt
securities sell more stock
acquire another firm or spin
off
a
subsidiary. Actions of this
sort usually require
complete disclosure of the
terms of the
transaction
and often shareholder approval.
The prospectus is the document
that outline the
terms
of the intended
transaction.
Sometimes
the final details of a
transaction are not known in
time for the
prospectus
mailing.
A preliminary prospectus is called a red
herring because of its
traditional red
lettering
around the front
cover.
Any
investor considering the purchase of a
newly issued security
particularly from a
firm
with
no other publicly traded securities
should find the prospectus
crucial. For one
thing
little
else is likely to be available
for study beyond news
releases or stories in the
financial
press.
The prospectus should provide a
complete outline of the
firm's plans for the
capital
and a
projection of future operating
results an investor's own
analysis will help in
deciding
whether
the projections are
reasonable and if their present value is
sufficient to justify
the
offering
price.
The
prospectus tends to be written in a conservative
fashion. Companies try to cover
every
risk
in this document because our
litigious society seems
anxious to blame someone
else
when
things go wrong. Companies are sometimes
forces to reimburse
someone's
investment
losses because of "undisclosed
risks" in the prospectus.
INVESTMENT
LETTERS:
Besides
company provided information and
library reference material
investors often
consider
publications that make investment
recommendations or forecasts. These
other
publications
generally fall into two
categories. One category includes
services that offer
specific
investment recommendations such as
"buy, sell or hold". Another
category is more
general
although recommended investor behavior
may still be
suggested.
Advisory
Letters:
1.
Value Line:
One
of the best known
subscription services is the Value
Line Investment Survey.
This
week
publication follows about 1700
common stocks and rates each of
them in two
categories
timelines and safety. The expanded
version covers over 6000
stocks.
The
timelines ranking refers to
precisely what you would
expect the advisability of
buying
this
stock now. The safety
ranking refers to the
confidence the Value Line
analysis has in
their
forecast about the
firm.
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Statements
such as "Value Line rates
the stock 1 and 2" are
commonly heard. The
timelines
ranking
is normally mentioned first
which means Value Line
ranks this particular stock
1
for
time lines and 2 for safety.
In other words Value Line
feels the future price
appreciation
of
this stock will rank in the
top 100 of the 1700 followed in
the basic survey the
safety
ranking
indicates they are rather
confident about their
estimate.
The
quality of Value Line's
research is excellent. Many
market analysts attach
considerable
significant
to the Value Line report on
a stock. This section
provides a useful screening
tool.
Someone
might be interested in a stock prices
below $15 rated at least 3 for timelines
and a
PE
below 25. The stock
price and the timelines
rating are beside each
other in the index,
and
an
investor could quickly scan
through the 1700 companies to find those
that pass the
screen.
Value
Line also ranks the
approximately 100 industries contained
within its securities
universe.
The industry ranked 1 is the
most attractive with higher
numbers being less
attractive.
Each
company covered by Value
Line receives one full page of coverage.
The graph at the
top
is similar to the one from
the S&P Stock Report.
Many investors like to
follow trends in
a
firm's cash flow the
Value Line graph shows
cash flow per share for
the last 15 years.
Value
Line ranks the stock 5 and 1
meaning lowest for price
performance in the next
twelve
months
and highest for
safety.
Note
in the analysis comments the
point that the firm
has had a difficult 18 months.
Note
also
that the analyst Stephen
Sanborn has CFA after
his name. CFA stands for
Chartered
Financial
Analyst a professional designation
that is rapidly becoming a
mandatory
credential
for newcomers into the
investment research or money management
business. The
CFA
program is discussed in greater detail in
the last chapter in the
book.
2.
Institutional Brokers Estimate
System:
The
Institutional Broker Estimate
System is commonly referred to as
I/B/E/S. This service
compiles
the earnings estimates of
security analysts providing
both individual estimates
and
a
median result. The range of
estimates appears too with
the most pessimistic and
most
optimistic
estimates highlighted. The
I/B/E/S database is updated weekly and
contains both
a
brief report and an expanded report
with values from the
prior three weeks.
Subscribers
can
access it online at
www.ibes.com.
3.
Zack's:
Zack's
Investment Research produces the
Corporate Earnings Estimator a
competitor of the
S&P
Earnings Forecaster. This publication is
popularly referred to simply as
Zack's. Like
the
Earnings Forecaster it compiles
earnings estimates from
about 60 different brokerage
firms
on a total of about 3000 stocks. A great deal of
the publication deal with
changes in
earning
estimates. The data on each
covered security concludes
with Zack's consensus
on
expected
future earnings. Zack's is a bi
weekly publication.
4. Brokerage
Information;
Another
important information source is the
research department at brokerage firms.
All full
service
brokerage firms (and some
discount firms) have an in house
research capability.
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Investors
can request a report on a particular
company or give their
brokers a list of
securities
of interest and ask to receive
reports on these firms as
they are produced.
The
Popular Press:
1. The
Wall Street
Journal:
The
wall street journal probably
needs no description. Even
non-investors have
usually
heard of it and
seen it at the newsstand.
The journal appears in three
sections. The first
section
is a general overview of the
top domestic and international
news. Dow Jones
calls
the
second section "Marketplace" and
describes its content as
"How companies complete
and
sell how managers and
consumer cope". This section
contains in index of all
companies
mentioned
anywhere in that day's
edition of the paper. The
third section "Money
&
Investing"
contains the bulk of the
financial data closing
price, indexes, exchange
rates,
earnings
reports and more.
2.
Barron's:
Barron's
is like a weekly version of
The Wall Street journal with
less coverage of political
events
and general news and more coverage of
financial statistics. It contains a great
deal of
market
statistical data which is one of
the reason s it is so popular
Dow Jones publishers
both
the WSJ and Barron's both
publications are available at
most newsstands.
The
part of Barron's that some
investor's use the most is
the "Market Laboratory"
section a
complete
and complex collection of market
statistic snot easily found
elsewhere. The
technical
analyst finds a lot of
interesting material
here.
3.
Investors Daily:
Investors
Daily is a competition of the WSJ it is
rich with financial
statistics and detail on
individual
securities. This newsprint
publication is quite common in
New York City,
Chicago,
and other financial centers but is
less common in other
areas.
4.
Forbes:
Forbes
is a popular twice monthly
magazine directed almost
exclusively at the investor.
A
thick
magazine the articles
include corporate case studies,
profiles of prominent
executives
investment
tutorials and a variety of excellent
columns designed to educate
the invoice and
professional
alike.
5. Smart
Money:
Another
Dow Jones publication is
Smart Money an excellent
relatively new magazine.
No
matter
what the level of market
solicitation investors is likely to
find something of
interest
in
virtually every issue. The
magazine is inexpensive and will help
anyone be better
informed.
6.
Other Magazine:
Numerous
other sources can also be extremely
useful. Many people are
loyal subscribers to
Money
Magazine, The Economist,
Fortune, Business Week or Financial
World. All are
respected
publications covering a wide range of
investment related
topics.
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Some
who is a genuine student of
the financial markets will
find the Financial
Analysis
Journal
useful and informative. This
quasi-academic journal features a good
mix of articles
from
professors and practitioners in each
issue. It is published six
times per year. Many
academic
journals are inaccessible to the
average investor; the FAJ is
an exception and well
worth
its subscription price. It is a
publication of the Association
for Investment
Management
and Research and is well know to those
involved with the Charted
Financial
Analyst
program.
International
Investor is an expensive publication;
current regular rates are $
405 per year.
This
magazine is for seasoned
money managers; its articles
are not tutorial in
nature.
Rather,
they deal with strategic
investment issue, with the
legal and regularity
framework,
and
with complex institutional
issues. Still, anyone
interested in the capital
market is likely
to
find something useful and
interesting in virtually every
issue.
7.
Television:
Louis
Rukeyser and Frank Capiello,
popular names in the
investment community host
a
popular
weekly television show
called "Wall Street Week". A
public television
production,
it is 30
minutes of market analysis
highlighted by an interview of prominent
Wall Street
Figure
each week, complete with
probing questions by the
hosts.
During
the business day many
county club snack bars,
airport, kiosks and office
waiting
rooms
tune to the Financial News
Network. The exchange
tickertape runs
continuously
across
the bottom of the screen
while commentators give
updates on what is going on in
the
world
markets.
COMPUTER
SERVICES:
Computer
services fall into groups.
One group is primarily used
for securities screening
and
is a
static database with
periodic updates. This type
usually augments the result
of the other
security
selection activities.
Screening
Services:
1.
Value Line Investment Survey
Windows:
Both
the basic and the expended
versions of Value Line are
available online with
weekly
updates. Users can
screen the entire Value
Line database by dozen
variables and rapidly
reduce
the security universe to a
workable number. Value Line
provides a number of
subjects
of the database, including
such handy groupings as
timely stocks in timely
industries
and stock moving up in rank.
The program also permits the
preparation of
statistical
summaries and detailed tabular
reports. This is a very
handy tool by many
investors
and investment advisors.
2.
Compustat:
Academic
researchers know the S&P
Compustat tapes. There are
both mainframe
computer
and
microcomputer versions of this
information source. Both types enable
the screening of
thousands
of stocks for specific financial
statement information. The screen can
include
anything
from familiar statistics.
Like the current ration or
retained earnings, to
less
frequently
used values such as unfunded
pension liabilities. Accounting
researcher use this
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Investment
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service
in conjunction with lest of
the market's response to
accounting changes. At least 150
categories
of information are available on
more than 6,500 firms in
the compustat
database.
3.
CRSP Tapes:
The
University of Chicago's Center
for Research in Security
Prices produces a set of
computer
tapes commonly known as the
CRSP tapes, pronounced
"crisp". This data
set
contains
data on all New York
Stock Exchange stocks from 1926 to
the present. Much of
the
academic research produced at
leading research universities
throughout the world
relies
on
CRSP data.
4.
Expended Academic Index:
An
increasing number of public
libraries are establishing
connections to large database.
One
particularly
useful database for the
investor is the Expended
Academic Index. This
index
includes
details on the articles in
more than 2,500 journals.
The user can screen through
the
entire
database by title, author,
subject, or key word For
example, a recent search of
the
index
for the subject "earning"
produced 255 entries, ranging
from the New York
Times,
PC
Week, and a number of academic
journals. Author search on
"price earning ration
analysis"
produced 65 articles with
these words in the
title.
5.
Disclosure:
Disclosure,
Inc. produces a CD-ROM disk
containing a wealth of company
information. For
each
covered firm, investor can
obtain a company profile,
its line of business, the
exchange
on
which its stock trades, its
five year growth in sales
and net income, and many
financial
statement
details. Investor can also search
the database using their
own criteria. For
instance,
in a search for electric
utilities in the state of
the New York, the
system will find
this
information in a matter of seconds.
Disclosure is particularly helpful
when looking for
other
terms comparable to a particular
firm of interest.
Online
Computer Services:
1.
CompuServe, Yahoo and American
Online:
These services
provide ready access to
historical price database and to
analyst's estimates.
Via
CompuServe or Yahoo! For
instance a subscriber can access
historical price
information
on virtually any listed
security and on most NASDAQ
issues. The L/B/E/S
database
is also accessible to determine consensus
growth rates or review
company profile
through
S&P Online. These services provide
price quotations that are
usually delayed 15 or
20
minutes rather than real
time prices. Delayed quotations
are much cheaper to
provide.
SEMINARS:
Brokerage
Firms:
In
most communities, the local
brokerage firms hold periodic
educational seminars for
their
current
and prospective customers. These seminars
often feature one of their
research stars
from
New York or one of the
firm's mutual fund managers.
Even though such
seminars
always
involve a bit of a sales
pitch, they invariably are
enjoyable and informative.
129
Investment
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(FIN630)
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Bank
Trust Department:
Band
trust departments do the same
thing as the brokerage firms.
Evening seminars are an
attractive
way to motivate existing
clients and to persuade other in
the community to take
advantage of
their bank's trust
department. The trust
department has investment people
in
addition
to legal people, and these seminars often
include a blend of both
investment issues
and
estate planning
topics.
Employee
Relation Programs:
Because
financial security is associated
with good employee moral,
some firms make it a
practice
of providing investment information as
part of the overall
corporate benefits
package.
These information sessions may be
during the day or evening,
but are free
benefit
to
the employee.
Exchange
Seminars:
The
securities exchanges also get into the
act by offering, educational sessions
throughout
the
year. Sometime the exchanges charge a
free for these events;
sometimes they are
free.
These
sessions can range from basic
information on how the stock
market works to
technical
discussions on risk management at financial
institutions.
Summary:
A
research philosophy is helpful in
marketing the best use of
research time. Many
analysis
use a
combination of fundamental, technical and
wise man techniques.
Regardless of the
approach
taken, analyst/investors need to
decide upon what type of
information they want
to
gather
and to be clear why this information
should be useful.
Stock
screening is necessary in order to reduce
the huge number of possible
investments to
smaller
number that can be investigated
carefully. Standard & Poor's and
Moody's are the
two
big names in investment
sources found in libraries. These
two services largely
duplicate
each
other.
Companies
prepare annual reports to
their shareholders and report to the
SEC, all of which
can be
useful in forming investment decisions.
Some companies make their annual
reports
available
to WSJ readers via a toll-free
call.
Many
investment letters that
offer investment advice are
available. The Value
Line
Investment
Survey is among the best
known of these. Many people
are especially
interested
in
Value Line's timeliness and
safety ranking of a
stock.
Earnings
forecasts are the meat of the
I/E/B/S and Zack's services. A great many
other
sources
of information are available
through magazines, newspapers, or television
shows.
Computer
services fall into two main
groups: static services for
security screening and
dynamic,
online services providing current
information. Yahoo!, Disclosure,
the Expanded
Academic
Index, and the Value Line
Investment Survey for
Windows are
particularly
popular.
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