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Financial
Statement Analysis-FIN621
VU
Lesson-37
PROFITABILITY
RATIOS
(C)
Analysis
by common stockholders:
Common
Stockholders are the investors whose
objective is to determine whether
investment is
sound,
how the business performed and
what has are future
expectations. Their interest is to
watch
Return on their investment
(ROI).
i)
Return
on Common Stockholder's equity
=
Net
income applicable to common stock x 100
=20 x100=16% or 10.4%
Common
stockholder's equity
125
(excluding other
income)
It is another
summary measure of overall firm
performance is return on equity. Return
on equity
(ROE)
compares net profit after
taxes (minus preferred stock
dividends, if any) to the equity
that
shareholders
have invested in the firm.
The
ratio tells us the earning
power on shareholders ` book
value investment and is
frequently
used
in comparing two or more firms in an
industry. A high return on
equity often reflects the
firm's
acceptance
of strong investment opportunities and
effective expensive management.However, if
the
firm
has chosen to employ a level
of debt that is high by
industry standards, a high ROE
might simply
be the
result of assuming excessive
financial risk.
With
all of the profitability ratios
discussed, comparing one company to
similar companies and
industry
standards is extremely valuable.
Only by comparisons are we
able to judge whether
the
profitability
of a particular company is good or bad, and
why? Absolute figures
provide some insight,
but
it is relative performance that is most
revealing.
If there
are two types of Shareholders, the net
income applicable to common stock =
net
income
preferred dividend requirement; and
common Stockholders' equity = total
stockholders'
equity
preferred stock equity at issue
price dividend arrears, if
any.
The
shareholders would like to
see if this rate is higher
than rate of interest paid to
long-
term
creditors or rate of dividend paid to
preferred stockholders? If return on
equity falls below the
rate
of interest, it is
unfavorable from the viewpoint of common
stockholders.
ii)
Earning
per share of common stock
=Net
income applicable to common
shareholders
Number
of common shares outstanding
=
20
=Rs.16
or 13 = Rs.10.4 (excluding other
income)
1.25
(each share of Rs.100)
1.25
Decline
in EPS is generally followed by
decline in market value of common
shares
though
not necessarily to the same extent or
percentage. EPS is applied to common
stock. Preferred
shares
have fixed dividends.
Before
we move on, you should
note that there are three types of
EPS numbers:
Trailing
EPS last year's numbers and the
only actual EPS
Current
EPS this year's
numbers, which are still
projections
Forward
EPS future numbers,
which are obviously
projections
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Financial
Statement Analysis-FIN621
VU
iv)
Price-earning
ratio (P/E) =
Market price/share
Earning/share
Companies
with record of rapid growth have
P/E
ratio
of 20 to 1 or even higher.
What
does P/E tell you?
The P/E gives you an idea of
what the market is willing to
pay for the
company's
earnings. The higher the P/E the more the
market is willing to pay for
the company's
earnings.
Some investors read a high P/E as an
overpriced stock and that may be the
case, however it
can
also indicate the market has
high hopes for this
stock's future and has bid
up the price.
Conversely,
a low P/E may indicate a
"vote of no confidence" by the market or
it could mean this is
a
sleeper
that the market has
overlooked. Known as value
stocks, many investors made
their fortunes
spotting
these "diamonds in the rough"
before the rest of the market discovered
their true worth.
What
is the "right" P/E? There is no correct
answer to this question,
because part of the answer
depends
on
your willingness to pay for
earnings. The more you are
willing to pay, which means
you believe the
company
has good long term prospects
over and above its current
position, the higher the "right" P/E
is
for
that particular stock in your
decision-making process. Another
investor may not see the
same value
and
think your "right" P/E is
all wrong.
iv)
Dividend
Yield
Some
stockholders invest primarily to receive
regular cash income in the
form of dividends.
Others
do so to secure capital gains through
rising market price of common
stock.
Dividend
yield =
Dividend per share x 100)
%
Market
price per share
Dividend
Yield is anticipated annual
dividend divided by the market
price of the stock.
Date
Market
price
EPS
P/E
Dividend
Dividend
per
share
ratio
per
share
yield
----
---------------
-------
------
------------
-----------
31.12.93
160
20.25
8
5
3.1
31.12.94
132
13.2
10
4.8
3.6
The
dividend yield on a company stock
is the company's annual dividend
payments divided by
its
market
cap, or the dividend per share
divided by the price per share.
It's often expressed as a
percentage.
Preferred
share dividend yield
Since
payment of the dividend is stipulated by
the prospectus, owners of preferred
shares calculate
multiple
yields to reflect the different possible
outcomes over the life of the
security. Be aware
that
these
yields will be different
from the company's point of
view. The company will
continue to call
their
security
(e.g.) a 6%--- when the
stated dividend is 6% of the issue
price of the share.
·
Current
yield is the $Dividend / Pfd
share current price.
·
Since the
share may be purchased at a
lower (higher) cost than
its final redemption
value,
holding
it to maturity will result in a
capital gain (loss). The
annualized rate of gain is calculated
using
the
Present value of a dollar
calculation. ('PV' is the current stock
price. 'FV' is the redemption
value. 'n'
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Financial
Statement Analysis-FIN621
VU
is the number of
years to redemption. Solve
for the interest rate 'r'.) The
yield to maturity is the sum
of
this
annualized gain (loss) and the current
yield.
Common
share dividend yield
Unlike
preferred stock, there is no stipulated
dividend for common stock. Instead,
dividends paid to
holders of common
stock are set by management,
usually in relation to the company's
earnings. There is
no
guarantee that future
dividends will match past
dividends or even be paid at all.
Due to the difficulty
in accurately
forecasting future dividends, the
most commonly-cited figure
for dividend yield is
the
current
yield which is calculated
using the following
formula:
Current
dividend yield =
most recent full -year
dividend
Current
share price
For
example, take a company which
paid dividends totaling $1 last
year and whose shares
currently sell
for
$20. Its dividend yield
would be calculated as
follows
=
$1/$20
=0.05
=5%
Rather
than use last year's
dividend, some try to
estimate what the next
year's dividend will be and
use
this
as the basis of a future dividend
yield. It should be noted
that estimates of future
dividend yields are
by
definition uncertain
Dividend
Pay out Ratio:
Annual
cash dividends divided by
annual earnings: or alternatively,
dividends per share divided
by
earning
per share. The ratio indicates the
percentage of a company's earnings that
is paid out to
shareholders
in cash.
Understanding
Dividend Payout Ratio
The
Dividend Payout Ratio (DPR)
is one of those numbers. It almost
seems like a
measurement
invented
because it looked like it
was important, but nobody
can really agree on
why.
The
DPR (it usually doesn't even
warrant a capitalized abbreviation)
measures what a company's
pays
out
to investors in the form of
dividends.
You
calculate the DPR by dividing the annual
dividends per share by the Earnings Per
Share.
DPR =
Dividends per Share /
EPS
For
example, if a company paid out $1 per
share in annual dividends and had $3 in
EPS, the DPR would
be
33%. ($1 / $3 = 33%)
The
real question is whether 33%
is good or bad and that is subject to
interpretation.
Growing
companies will typically
retain more profits to fund
growth and pay lower or no
dividends.
Companies
that pay higher dividends
may be in mature industries where there is
little room for
growth
and
paying higher dividends is the
best use of profits
(utilities used to fall into
this group, although
in
recent
years many of them have been
diversifying).
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Financial
Statement Analysis-FIN621
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Either
way, you must view the
whole DPR issue in the context of the
company and its industry. By
itself,
it tells you very
little.
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