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Corporate
Finance FIN 622
VU
Lesson
35
SHARE
VALUATIONS
We
shall take up following
topics in this hand out:
Assets
Based Share
Valuations
Hybrid
Valuation methods
Procedure
for public takeover
Procedure
for private takeover
Anti-takeover
tools
o Poison
pill
o Pac
man
o White
knight
o Counter
offer
o Disposal
of key assets
o Acquisition
by the target
o Shark
repellent
o Political
pressure
Assets
Based Share
Valuations
Asset-based
methods typically involve
restating both assets and
liabilities to their current values to
arrive at
a net
asset value. The restatement
can be done on an individual component level
(discrete valuation) or
collectively
(collective valuation). Given the relative difficulty
of individually valuing a variety of
assets, such
as
real estate, machinery and
equipment, and inventory, it is often
necessary to employ valuation
specialists.
Collective
valuation requires a single
analysis, which identifies the collective
value of the assets and
liabilities
over
and above their recorded
value (i.e., a price-to-book
multiple). Even with
asset-based models,
value
remains
a function of expected benefits to the
owners. The value of assets
is generally derived from either
future
income-generating potential or
liquidation value, depending on the
circumstances at a given time.
Some
add a fourth approach to
valuation to the three that we
describe in this handout. They
argue that you
can
argue the individual assets owned by a
firm and use that to
estimate its value
asset based valuation
models.
In fact, there are several
variants on asset based
valuation models. The first
is liquidation value,
which
is obtained by aggregating the estimated
sale proceeds of the assets owned by a
firm. The second is
replacement
cost, where you evaluate
what it would cost you to
replace all of the assets
that a firm has
today.
While
analysts may use asset-based
valuation approaches to estimate
value, we do not consider
them
alternatives
to discounted cash flow, relative or
option pricing models since
both replacement and
liquidation
values have to be obtained using
one or more of these
approaches. Ultimately, all
valuation
models
attempt to value assets the
differences arise in how we
identify the assets and how
we attach value
to
each asset. In liquidation
valuation, we look only at
assets in place and estimate
their value based
upon
what
similar assets are priced at in the
market. In traditional discounted
cash flow valuation, we
consider all
assets
including expected growth
potential to arrive at value.
The
two approaches may, in fact,
yield the same values if you
have a firm that has no
growth assets and the
market
assessments of value reflect expected
cash flows.
Asset
based methods are generally
considered suitable when
shareholdings > 50% are being valued.
Such
shareholdings
give the holder the right to control the
acquisition and disposal of the
underlying assets.
Therefore, if
there are assets not
needed for generation of
income, the controlling shareholders
may cause
these
to be realized to generate
cash.
Book
Values: these figures are
bases on past or historical costs
and are meaningless and
useless to be used
for
merger transaction valuations.
Replacement
Cost: this should provide a measure of
the maximum amount that any buyer should
pay for
the
whole business, since it
represents the total cost of
forming the business from
scratch. However, a
major
element of any business as a going
concern is likely to be the goodwill.
Since this can only be
defined
as
income based value of
business tangible assets it may be
seen that there is no real
way of applying a
pure
asset based value to a
business. It is always necessary to
consider an income-based value as
well.
Break
up value: is the assets in the business
will often be less than
any other computed value. It
represents
the
minimum price, which should be
accepted for the sale of a
business as a going concern, since if
the
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Corporate
Finance FIN 622
VU
income
based valuations give figures lower
than the break up value it is
apparent that the owner would
be
better
off by ceasing to trade and
selling off all the assets
piecemeal.
However,
when a break up is considered in this way
it must be remembered to include such
items as
redundancy
costs, liquidator's which
may have substantial effect on the
final outcome.
Hybrid
Methods Mix Of Asset Based &
Income Method:
The
income and asset-based
approaches to valuation have relative
strengths as well as obvious
limitations.
For
example, the income approach
allows for specific and
direct estimation of future benefits to the
owners,
which
is consistent with the theory of
value. On the other hand, if the
estimation of future benefits is
directly
based on historical income, the precision
of the estimate will depend heavily on
the persistence
embodied in the
historical income measure and on the
growth assumptions incorporated into the
model. If,
for
example, current or historical income
contains large transitory components, the
relationship between
historical
and future income may be
distorted. In addition, to the extent an inappropriate
discount rate is
utilized,
value estimates will be
adversely affected.
Asset-based
valuation approaches can be effective in
that the accurate identification of
individual asset and
liability
values will yield a reliable
value estimate. In addition,
unlike the income approach, an
equity
discount
rate, the estimation of which can
have a significant impact on the
valuation conclusion, is
not
required
for an asset-based approach. On the
other hand, it is often
difficult to accurately restate
book value
to current
value for an array of
assets, especially when a significant amount of
unrecorded intangible
assets
exists.
This
method includes the characteristics of
both income and asset
based valuation methods. For
example,
the
income approach allows for
specific and direct estimation of future
benefits to the owners, which is
consistent
with the theory of
value.
The
estimation of future benefits is directly
based on historical income; the precision
of the estimate will
depend
heavily on the persistence embodied in the historical
income measure and on the
growth
assumptions
incorporated into the model asset-based
valuation approaches can be effective in
that the
accurate
identification of individual asset
and liability values will
yield a reliable value estimate. in
addition,
unlike
the income approach, an equity discount
rate, the estimation of which can
have a significant impact
on the
valuation conclusion, is not required
for an asset-based
approach.
Taken collectively,
however, income and asset-based
valuations generally yield better
valuation accuracy
and
more-effective
analysis, which is the real
benefit of a hybrid
approach.
Acquisition
Procedures:
·
Procedure
for public take over:
·
Growth
/ expansion is decided
·
Predator
company appoints experts legal
consultants, banks, accountants
and stock brokers
·
Decision
regarding contact with
target firm approach before the
bid or hostile takeover
·
Purchase
of certain % age of shares of
target
·
Establish
an offer and communicate
target
Includes
offer document, offer
validity, predator may revise
offer if declined by
target
·
Acquisition
of private company:
·
Limited
consultancy services from expert
are required. internal evaluation is
normally enough.
·
Detailed
investigation is conducted before the
transaction.
·
Offer
price is negotiated by both
parties
·
Finalization
of deal by entering into a
contract
·
Payment
of price finishes the
deal.
Anti-takeover
tools:
Takeovers
are not easy there is
always some opposition to
takeovers by some or all of the
stakeholders of
target
company. In this section, you
will learn how to thwart a
takeover attempt successfully. The
following
methods
have been used in practical
life to stop a takeover:
Poison
pill:
Poison
pill originally meant a literal
poison
pill (often a glass vial of
cyanide salts) carried by
various spies
throughout
history, and by Nazi leaders in
WWII Spies could take such
pills when discovered,
eliminating
any
possibility that they could be interrogated
for the enemy's gain. It has
since become a term referring
to
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Corporate
Finance FIN 622
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any
strategy, generally in business or
politics, to increase the likelihood of
negative results over
positive ones
for
anyone who attempts any
kind of takeover.
Pac-Man:
The
Pac-Man
defense is a
defensive option to stave
off a hostile takeover. It is when a
company that is
under a hostile
takeover acquires its would-be
buyer.
The
most quoted example in U.S. corporate
history is the attempted hostile takeover of Martin
Marietta by
Bendix
Corporation in 1982. In response,
Martin Marietta started
buying Bendix stock with the
aim of
assuming
control over the company.
Bendix persuaded Allied
Corporation to act as a "white
knight," and
the
company was sold to Allied
the same year. The incident
was labeled a "Pac-Man defense" in
retrospect.
The
name refers to when Pac-Man,
the star of the videogame of the same
name, turns around and
devours
the
ghost that was previously pursuing
him (after eating a Power
Pill that allows him to do
so). The term
(though
not the technique) was coined by
buyout guru Bruce
Wasserstein.
White
knight (business)
In
business, a white
knight may be
a corporation, a private company, or a
person that intends to
help
another
firm. There are many types
of white knights.
The
first type refers to the friendly
acquirer of a target firm in a hostile
takeover attempt by another firm.
The
intention of the acquisition is to circumvent the takeover of the
object of interest by a third,
unfriendly
entity,
which is perceived to be less favorable.
The knight might defeat the
undesirable entity by offering
a
higher
and more enticing bid, or strike a
favorable deal with the management of the
object of acquisition.
In short, if
Company T (target) is going to be
acquired by Company H (hostile firm),
but Company A
(acquirer)
can acquire ownership of Company T,
and then Company A would be
acting as the white
knight.
The
second type refers to the acquirer of a
struggling firm that may not
necessarily be under threat by a
hostile
firm. The financial standing of the
struggling firm could prevent any
other entity being interested
in
an acquisition.
The firm may already
have huge debts to pay to
its creditors, or worse, may
already be
bankrupt.
In such a case, the knight, under
huge risk, acquires the firm
that is in crisis. After acquisition,
the
knight
then rebuilds the firm, or integrates it
into itself
Disposal of
Key Assets:
Disposal
of key assets is also very
important tools which go in anti,
because some times vital
assets when go
to
liquidate or companies go to amalgamate
then, too many hurdles come
in order to process the
disclosure
of the
assets, because investment made by the
investor.
Acquisition
by the Target:
A targeted
repurchase is a
technique used to thwart a hostile
takeover in which the target firm
purchases
back
its own stock from an
unfriendly bidder, usually at a
price well above market
value.
Politics
Political
pressure is an effective anti-take over
tool. Two good examples
will make you understand
better
how a
government can stop takeover
bid.
DWP
Middle East based port
company acquired the management of
some US ports after successful
bidding.
Later, as the congress raised concern
about the security of its ports, US
president had to
interfere
to
stop this bid. On the same
lines, an Indian business
tycoon had a successful
bidding of a French
steel
manufacturer
but later French government intervened
and cancelled the
bid.
A poison
pill may also be used in
politics such as attaching an
amendment so distasteful to a bill
that even
the
bill's supporters are forced to
vote against it. This
manipulative tactic may be intended to simply
kill the
bill,
or to create a no-win situation for the
bill's supporters, so that the
bill's opponents can accuse them
of
voting
for something bad no matter
what. This is sometimes known as a
"wrecking amendment".
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